Spatial Demography -- Population Problems
and Prospects
I. Population Growth--the Problem
- Food Supply
- Status of Women
- Health Issues--not enough nutrients in food, lack of medical help
- Environmental Issues--deforestation, erosion, technology/chemicals
II. World Population Growth--the Numbers
- Growth Rate: 177 million babies - 86 million deaths = 90 million
or 230,000 per day
- Will the world stabilize at 10 billion?
- Millions vs. Billions
III. Historical Impetuses to Population Growth
- Agricultural Revolution
- Industrial Revolution
- Urbanization and Sanitation
- Advances in Medicine
- Conquest and Colonization of New Lands
- Developing Countries
IV. Checks on Population Growth
- Epidemics and Plagues
--Bubonic Plague- 1348-1350,
1/4 of the population killed, 50% attrition in some towns, England loses 4
million people
- Famines
- Irish Potato Famine
- India and China
- Wars
- Natural Decrease
V. Demographic Transition Theory
5 Stages:
- High Birth Rate, High Death Rate
- High Birth Rate, Declining Death Rate
- Declining Birth Rate, Low Death Rate
- Low Birth Rate, Low Death Rate
- Low rates with natural decrease--i.e. Scandinavian countries, Netherlands,
Japan
VI. Thomas Malthus
- Food Production increases linearly while population increases geometrically--the
world will not have enough food to support itself
- Technology Intervenes
- Is Malthus wrong for the future?
- World Watch Institute--Neo-Malthusians
--India will pass China on exponential growth path
- A problem we will never escape--population will outdo technology
VII. Policy Measures to prevent Population Growth
- How to diffuse the population bomb?
- The U.N. Population Conferences:
- 1974-Bucharest-China and USSR: Communist vs. Non-Communist with
Communists pushing expansionist policy
- 1984-China institutes 1.0 child population policy
- 1994-Cairo-Christian and Islamic Fundamentalism do not want to
impose control policies on other nations. Anti-control is usually anti-women.