Spatial Demography -- Disease Types and Models of Infectious Disease
I. Disease Categories and Spatial Incidence
- Infectious Diseases (micro-and macro-parasitism)
--examples: malaria, AIDS, yellow fever, influenza
- Chronic (degenerative) Diseases
--examples: cancer, heart disease, arthritis
- Genetic (inheritied) Diseases
--examples: hemophilia, sickle-cell anemia, lactose intolerance
II. Spatial Incidence of Infectious Disease
- Annual Mortality Rate of Infectious Diseases in the U.S.
- Leading causes of death in the U.S.: 1900 vs. 1997
- In 1900, Pneumonia, and Tuberculosis are leading causes of death, in
1997 it's Heart Disease and Cancer
- Lifestyle changes--more sedentary
- Diet and overall health changes
- Historical Mortality Rates due to different Infectious Diseases
--Different factors contribute to changes in mortality rates
III. Epidemic vs. Pandemic
- Epidemic: need definition
- Pandemic: very spatially extensive epidemic
IV. Infectious Disease
- Disease processes in time and space
- Point sources: disease clusters
- Spreads by contagious diffusion
- Disease Clusters
- Cancer--sometimes environmental linkages to cancer clusters
- John Snow--cholera--plotted cholera outbreak in relation to water pumps
in London
- Jeoffrey Jacquez example (?)
- Spatial Diffusion of Infectious Disease
- Contagious Diffusion - Key elements in a spatial diffusion process:
- spatial rate of transfer
- disease waves
- critical community size: must have a certain sized population in
order for disease to be endemic
- Expansion Diffusion
- Contagious/direct contact
- Distance
- Hierarchical
- Relocation Diffusion
- Models and Images of Spatial Diffusion of Infectious Diseases
- Spatial Diffusion and the AIDS pandemic
- Past Epidemics
- Conceptual View of the spread of communicable disease
- One more--check out title
- The GAIA Model
- Compartmental model--boxes contain individuals, individuals move
among compartments at a particular rate
- Make the model spatial by regionalizing it. Regions contain
a certain number of susceptibles, infecteds, and recovereds, and these
individuals spread disease among different regions.