Description
|
Schedule
|
Participants
& Papers
|
Proceedings
|
Additional
Resources
Agent-based
Models of Land Use / Land Cover Change - Schedule
| Thursday,
3:00-6:00 at the Hyatt
Short presentations |
- Jim
Opaluch
- Alfons
Balmann presenting
Adjustment
Costs of Agri- Environmental Policy Switchings
A Multi-Agent-Approach [PDF, 257k]
- Thomas
Berger presenting Multiple-Agent
Modeling Applied to Agro-Ecological
Development
[PDF, 520k]
- Peter
Deadman presenting
Agent
Based Simulations of the Effects of Household Structure
on Patterns of Land Use Change in the Brazilian Amazon
[PDF, 352k]
-
Daniel
G. Brown
presenting Project
SLUCE: Spatial Land Use Change and Ecological Effects
[PDF, 1.4 MB]
- Gary
Polhill presenting
FEARLUS:
An Agent-Based Model of Land Use [PDF,
172k]
- Patrick
D’Aquino
presenting Linking
Role-playing Games, GIS and MAS to Accompany
Governing Processes in Land Use Management: The SelfCormas
Experiment in the Senegal River Valley
[PDF, 438k] Accompanying
Paper [PDF, 331k]
- Steve
Manson presenting Agent
Based Approaches to Land-Use and Land-Cover Change in the
Southern Yucatan Peninsular Region of Mexico
[PDF, 645k]
- Dawn
Parker presenting
Biocomplexity
Project Overview [PDF, 652k]
| Saturday,
2:45-4:30 at the Beckman center |
| Break-out
session followed by group discussion |
- What lessons have we learned
for MAS/LUCC models from the NAS sessions?
| Sunday,
8:30-10:00 at the Hyatt
Goals
and Models |
| Break-out
groups followed by summaries and discussion |
- What are our goals for the
workshop?
LUCC working paper goals
Potential follow-up activities:
-
CSISS expert meeting?
-
NAS Colloquium?
-
Special journal issue?
-
Listserve and enhanced web site
- What are the
potential strengths of MAS/LUCC models? What is the
most appropriate role for such models?
Dealing with space and
time
Process discovery
vs. policy analysis
Levels of abstraction
| 10:00-10:15
-- Coffee
break |
| 10:15-Noon
-- Linking
models to data |
| Break-out
groups followed by summaries and discussion |
- How
can models be parameterized?
Data
from outside the system: surveys, experiments,
statistical models, GIS coverages
Data
gathered within the system: same sources
- What are the compatibilities
and synergies of alternative modeling techniques?
- What
are the special challenges for model verification for MAS/LUCC
models?
Understanding
systems that can't be analytically explored
Understanding
systems with non-linearities, complex feedbacks, and
multiple equilibria
Identifying
problems of parameter identification (i.e., an outcome
may have several observationally equivalent possible
causes)
- What
are possible techniques for model validation (i.e., comparing
generated and actual landscapes and behavior)?
Landscape
comparisons -- existing techniques and possible innovations
Behavioral
comparisons
- What
are important issues with respect to spatial and temporal
scale that
must be considered in model parameterization, verification,
and validation?
- What
empirical challenges are unique to MAS/LUCC models?
| 1:00-3:00
Infrastructure Development |
| New
break-out groups followed by summaries and discussion |
- What
tools have researchers used and explored?
- What
are the strengths and weaknesses of these tools?
- What
enhancements are needed?
- What
coordination or investments would be helpful?
| 3:00-3:15 --
Coffee Break |
- Modeling human decision making (discussed)
- Modeling socio-political phenomena (institutions, group
decision making, etc…) (discussed)
- Modeling land markets and alternative land allocation
strategies (discussed)
- Modeling endogenous rule formation
- What can’t we use ABM models for?
- What non-human entities can be represented as agents?
- What should be endogenous and exogenous to our models?
| 5:00-5:30
-- Closing discussion |
- Potential
publication outlets
- Development
of enhanced web site
- Possible
future workshops, conference venues
- Other
communication strategies
|